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Technical or Fundamental Analysis (Forecasting)
Article Category: SML Technical Analysis
In this article I compare these two methods of forecasting in the stock
market. I''ll give the reasoning that why technical analysis is superior to
fundamental analysis.
As you know, technical analysis concentrates on the study of market action, and
fundamental analysis concentrates on the economic forces of supply and demand
that cause price movements.
Fundamentalists try to determine the intrinsic value of the stocks. They examine
all factors that affect on price. If the intrinsic value is under the current
price, fundamentalist sells the stock because stock is over priced. If price is
below the intrinsic value then market is undervalued and should be bought.
Fundamentalists study the cause of market movements, but reasons of movements
aren''t important for technicians. Technicians believe that the price reflects
the effect of all events that make change in price. Therefore study of price
action is all that they require.
Most people use both technical and fundamental analysis to trade. Many
technicians have basic knowledge on fundamental approach and many
fundamentalists have basic knowledge on technical analysis. But, most people
have more interest on one method.
Why Technical Analysis
Fundamentalists must find the reasons of price movement. Sometimes this act is
very complicated; there are so many factors that make change on price such as
political, psychotically events and so on. To trade the fundamentalist must
study and research tremendous amount of data that takes so much time and effort.
Technical analysis is Flexible and Adaptable
You can apply technical rules to every market either stocks or futures or any
other market. The technician easily can follow many markets in the same time.
This is a great strength because you can catch big movements in each market.
Trading in different Time Dimensions
You can use technical rules for daytrading, swingtrading, long term trading and
etc. rules are the same you only change time of charts. Some people say
technical analysis is only suitable for short term trading, but it is not true.
Using weekly and monthly charts that refer to several years has proven the
strength of technical analysis for long term trading.
By Mostafa Soleimanzadeh. Learn how to Invest in the Stock Market by reading
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